France could see a political earthquake in the coming days as the far right National Rally gave the government a deadline of Monday to agree fresh concessions over the budget.

Barnier may decide to press ahead with a regular vote. If the social security budget is shot down, it would go back to the Senate for further negotiations. If it miraculously passes, there are two other major hurdles ahead, with votes on the broader budget scheduled for Dec. 4 and Dec. 18, presenting the same risks for Barnier.

To survive the vote in the fractured lower house, Barnier needs Marine Le Pen's party to abstain, otherwise his government and the budget bill could fall, plunging France into a political crisis.

Frances far-right National Rally is intensifying its push against the government, refusing to back down on budget demands and raising the possibility of a no-confidence vote. The fallout could shake political and